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MotorSportsTalk’s predictions: Hungarian GP

Jul 25, 2013, 4:30 PM EDT

Mercedes Formula One driver Hamilton, Lotus driver Raikkonen and Williams driver Maldonado attend a news conference at the Hungaroring circuit in Mogyorod Reuters

Since its debut in 1986, the Hungarian Grand Prix has been rain affected just once. That’s a 1/27 ‘rain-rate’, or, for the math geniuses out there, less than 4% of the races held at the Hungaroring. Therefore, you would be safe to bet on it being a dry race on Sunday especially with the weather forecast predicting temperatures of beyond 100ºF. If only predictions were so simple for the MST team…

Tony DiZinno (@tonydizinno)

Race winner: Sebastian Vettel. Vettel hasn’t won in Hungary before so he should this weekend. Why, you ask? He hadn’t won in Canada before (check), or in his home country of Germany before (check), or in the month of July before (checked with Germany). And chances are the Red Bull will be able to handle the projected record temps quite well.

Surprising finish: Nico Hulkenberg. The Sauber team claims to have made updates for the Silverstone test and Hulkenberg will be the driver to exploit them. I have a hunch he could better 10th place this weekend, perhaps threaten for seventh or eighth if he makes Q3 on Saturday.

Most to prove: Jean-Eric Vergne. After a two-race stretch where he thrived, including at Monaco, he’s been considerably outshone by teammate Daniel Ricciardo the last two races, and all but dismissed from Red Bull consideration. Time to put up a productive, Ricciardo-beating weekend.

Christopher Estrada (@estradawriting)

Race winner: Kimi Raikkonen. It’s going to take a perfect race to stop Sebastian Vettel, but hot conditions in Budapest could play well for teams that take care of their tires such as Lotus and Ferrari. Raikkonen was a threat all the way to the end in Germany, and I see him jumping to the top spot on the podium this weekend.

Surprising finish: Nico Hulkenberg. Sauber comes to Hungary with a bit of momentum after back-to-back points finishes from “The Hulk” at Silverstone and Nurburgring. With a upgrade package coming up here for his C32, the German driver could find an opportunity for a bigger points haul.

Most to prove: Mercedes. This weekend, the Merc duo has to play catch-up with the field in regards to the new Pirelli tires, which they couldn’t sample in the recent Young Driver’s Test. Rosberg’s had a great 2013 and Hamilton’s won at Hungaroring three times in his career, but this could be a hole they can’t dig out of right now.

Luke Smith (@LukeSmithF1)

Race winner: Fernando Alonso. Just over ten years since his first grand prix victory at the Hungaroring, I can see Alonso repeating this result as the heat plays against Red Bull and into Ferrari’s hands. If anyone can stop Vettel, it is the Spaniard.

Surprising finish: Romain Grosjean. RoGro has had a hard time of it in 2013 so far, but his podium in Germany was a superb result and performance that proved his worth to Lotus. Relying he keeps it on track, a repeat of his 3rd place finish here last season isn’t too far fetched.

Most to prove: Jean-Eric Vergne. Two open snubs from Red Bull, JEV now needs to prove to the F1 world just why he is in the sport. A good result ahead of the expected driver announcement is required to ensure he remains in the sport next season.

Keith Collantine (@keithcollantine)

Race winner: Sebastian Vettel. Of the last three races he’s won two and was leading the other when his car let him down. He was able to keep the Lotus pair behind at the Nurburgring despite a Safety Car and a KERS failure, and I reckon he’ll do the same here.

Surprising finish: Nico Hulkenberg. Sauber seem to be getting a handle on their car, they’ve got some new parts this weekend and I suspect they’ll be happier on the revised tires.

Most to prove: Felipe Massa. I picked him in Germany and he spun out after three laps, so I can hardly choose anyone else!

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