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MotorSportsTalk’s Predictions: German GP

Jul 17, 2014, 11:30 AM EDT

Germany F1 Mercedes Rosberg AP

With Germany currently going World Cup crazy, the pressure is well and truly on both Nico Rosberg and the Mercedes team to keep the good times going with victory at this weekend’s German Grand Prix.

Hoping to stop Nico will be Britain’s Lewis Hamilton, who claimed an emotional home win last time out at Silverstone. His victory, combined with Rosberg’s first retirement of the season, saw the gap at the top of the standings drop to just four points in favor of the German. Having won here back in 2008, Lewis will know that a repeat result will give him the lead of the drivers’ championship for just the second time this season.

With that, plus the likes of Sebastian Vettel, Fernando Alonso, Jenson Button and Kimi Raikkonen hoping to play a supporting role, the MST writing team has to think carefully for its picks this weekend.

Luke Smith (@LukeSmithF1)

Race winner: Lewis Hamilton. As cool as a home win for Nico Rosberg would be, Lewis has the momentum right now. This is a track that he likes, and was the scene of one of his greatest ever wins back in 2008. I’m backing the Briton to become Mercedes’ first home winner since Fangio in 1954.

Surprising finish: Nico Hulkenberg. Where better to secure your first ever podium finish in F1 than at your home race? I’m tipping Nico to score his first – and frankly overdue – top three finish this weekend at a track that should suit Force India.

Most to prove: SauberAargh! Seriously! It sums up Sauber’s season that it matched its best qualifying result of the season at Silverstone despite both cars finishing in the gravel. A change must come for Sauber, surely?

Tony DiZinno (@tonydizinno)

Race winner: Nico Rosberg. Pivotal weekend for Nico to bounce back after Silverstone DNF. He’s got everything else going for him this week, why not a home GP victory to match Lewis?

Surprising finish: Nico Hulkenberg. While Williams has done better in the “second best Mercedes power unit” class of late, the Hockenheim circuit and return to softer tyre compounds should favor the Force India. And Hulkenberg is usually my pick ahead of Perez, especially on home soil.

Most to prove: Kamui Kobayashi. In part because this might be the last time he gets picked for anything this year! The usually fearless driver hasn’t had drives reminiscent of those at Sauber. He may be on borrowed time at Caterham and could use a standout showing. Raikkonen and Sutil are also due to perform but their seats aren’t yet in immediate danger.

Christopher Estrada (@estradawriting)

Race winner: Lewis Hamilton. Never mind Nico Rosberg’s amazing week that has seen him get married, sign a contract extension, and see Germany win the World Cup. Hamilton’s win at Silverstone was the perfect thing to revitalize him, and he’ll ruin Rosberg’s homecoming at Hockenheim.

Surprising finish: Fernando Alonso. The Spaniard has won the last two German GPs at Hockenheim (2010, 2012). A third consecutive win at this track is probably too much to ask considering Ferrari’s overall pace, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him challenge for the last step on the podium.

Most to prove: Nico Hulkenberg. Neither he or Force India teammate Sergio Perez had ideal balance at Silverstone, but Hockenheim and the tire compounds should be a better fit – and the Hulk will be very anxious to continue his points streak at what was his local circuit when he was growing up.

Jerry Bonkowski (@JerryBonkowski)

Race winner: Nico Rosberg. Even though he leads the F1 points, Rosberg still trails Mercedes teammate Lewis Hamilton when it comes to wins (Hamilton has five, Rosberg has three). Plus, Nico is on home turf this weekend. We expect him to put on a dominating performance – and leave Hamilton in his dust.

Surprising finish: Sebastian Vettel. Again, we’re going with homeland edge. Sebastian Vettel will rise to the occasion in front of his countrymen and comes “home” – so to speak – with a podium finish. Vettel has struggled far too much and far too long this season. He needs a homecourt advantage and he gets one Sunday.

Most to prove: Felipe Massa. Who doesn’t have a lot to prove heading into the 10th race of the season? Teams and drivers that we expected to do well heading into the 2014 season have been like fish out of water and floundered miserably. We could probably pick a dozen drivers that fit in this category, but we’ll go with Felipe Massa. While Massa has dipped to 10th place, his teammate, Valtteri Bottas, has had a strong season with a solid fifth-place ranking. Since their cars are so similar, obviously the shortcoming in the difference between the two has to be the individual talent behind the wheel.

  1. testover6370 - Jul 17, 2014 at 6:15 PM

    I think it is wide of the mark to say the gap from Bottas to Massa comes down to the driver’s talent. Massa has had multiple pit stops go wrong, and has been taken out twice, the first time definitely through no fault of his own, and the second time arguably through no fault of his own. He has been just as fast as his teammate and without those issues, he’d be close in points.

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