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What to watch for: IndyCar at Mid-Ohio (3 p.m. ET, NBCSN & Live Extra)

Aug 3, 2014, 1:45 PM EDT

SEIZE YOUR OPPORTUNITY

Mid-Ohio’s rolling hills and narrow ribbon means that those with track position are going to be sitting in the catbird’s seat. On-track passing can be at a premium here, and drivers may need to rely more on their pit crews to gain ground.

But while passing is tough, it’s not impossible. A big chance lies in Mid-Ohio’s signature Turn 2, known as the Keyhole, which comes at the end of a long straightaway. Ditto for Turn 4, a right-hand corner that leads into the track’s “rhythm” complex of corners – it’s where Charlie Kimball made his race-winning pass on Simon Pagenaud last year.

TIME’S RUNNING OUT FOR TITLE CONTENDERS

Helio Castroneves and Will Power are first and second in the standings with four races to go, and are separated by just 13 points. Meanwhile, their closest pursuers, Ryan Hunter-Reay (third, -69 points) and Simon Pagenaud (fourth, -71 points), pretty much have zero margin for error at this point. If they’re going to hunt down the Penske duo over these last few races, their big push needs to start today. RHR starts fifth today, while Pagenaud starts ninth.

ON TARGET?

It may be up to Tony Kanaan to keep Chip Ganassi Racing atop the podium at Mid-Ohio, where they’ve been since 2009. Kanaan starts toward the front in third position and has been a threat to win in the last few races. Meanwhile, Ryan Briscoe, Kimball and Scott Dixon are all starting within the last two rows of the grid. Count out a Ganassi driver at your own risk, but these three in particular may need some clever strategy in order to contend late.

SPEAKING OF STRATEGY…

Expect that to play heavily into the outcome of today’s race. Kimball pulled off a three-stopper last season for the win, but there will be plenty that try to make it on two stops. Other variables to keep in mind: 1) As reported by our man on the ground, Tony DiZinno, a lot of the teams will have three sets of Firestone ‘alternate’ reds on hand; and 2) this race has gone caution-free in each of the last two years.

UPSET ALERT

After a well-deserved runner-up at Iowa, Josef Newgarden came down to Earth in the Toronto doubleheader two weeks ago. But the American pilot will start on the front row alongside pole sitter Sebastien Bourdais, and a victory today for Newgarden and Sarah Fisher Hartman Racing would be a popular one in the paddock. Let’s also keep an eye on Andretti Autosport rookie Carlos Munoz (starting fourth), who’s picked up three podiums this year and won’t think twice about dueling with his veteran peers.

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